In the closely watched 2024 presidential race, former President Donald Trump continues to edge ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in a number of key polls, holding a slight 2-point lead nationwide. According to the latest findings from Rasmussen Reports, Trump is leading Harris by 48% to 46% among likely voters, a trend that has remained steady for the past three weeks.
This poll underscores the stagnant nature of the race, despite both candidates ramping up their campaigns following the GOP and Democratic conventions. Harris’s recent media blitz and significant spending have yet to yield any notable increase in support, highlighting the tight and competitive nature of this election.
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So the Coca Cola can customizer allows "praise satan" but not "God Loves You".
Their new custom website allows the use of "Harris 2024" but prohibits "Trump 2024" due to it being deemed "political in nature" or "offensive."
This is election… pic.twitter.com/mwfpYRbsaG
— Ape𝕏 (@CubanOnlyTrump) September 25, 2024
One of the more significant findings in the recent surveys is the gender gap, which has narrowed compared to earlier polls. Trump currently leads among men by seven points, with 51% of men favoring him compared to 44% for Harris.
However, Harris maintains a slight edge among female voters, leading 49% to 46%. This gender divide is critical as both campaigns seek to mobilize specific voter demographics as election day approaches.
Kamala Harris told America on debate night that Goldman Sachs and the Wharton School of Business said her economic plan is better than Trump’s.
Both Goldman and Wharton have now come out and said that she was lying. pic.twitter.com/jhThANvvkr
— Greg Price (@greg_price11) September 24, 2024
Trump’s consistent performance in the polls is even more notable given the challenges he faced in previous elections. In 2016, Trump’s support was lower than it is now, and his ability to sustain a lead, even if narrow, suggests a solidified base and growing momentum among independent voters. Meanwhile, Harris's struggles in key swing states like Georgia, Arizona, and North Carolina further complicate her path to victory. In Arizona, for example, Trump holds a narrow lead of 50% to 49%, while in Georgia, Trump is similarly ahead by just one point. North Carolina remains a toss-up, with both candidates locked in a 49% tie.
Despite Trump's small lead, Harris does have strengths, particularly among women and minority voters. She leads significantly with African American voters, holding 86% of their support in Georgia compared to Trump's 13%. Yet, Harris’s performance among Latino voters has not matched her predecessor, President Joe Biden. In Arizona, Trump leads Harris among Latino voters by 51% to 49%, a stark contrast to Biden’s 24-point advantage with this demographic in 2020.
Texas, a traditionally Republican stronghold, remains an essential battleground for both campaigns. In recent weeks, Trump has extended his lead in the Lone Star State, with polls showing him ahead of Harris by a margin of 50.9% to 45.6%. Harris has attempted to cut into this lead with campaign efforts targeting key voter groups, but the state’s recent polling suggests that the Democrats still face an uphill battle.
As the race progresses, both Trump and Harris will likely continue focusing on battleground states like Georgia and Arizona, where the margins remain slim. The real question remains whether either candidate will be able to break out of the deadlock and establish a commanding lead in the final weeks of the campaign.
